Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.146454 0.173738 0.204353 0.241200 0.284299 0.333066 0.392384
2025-07-06 0.103951 0.138122 0.180664 0.237325 0.310599 0.401930 0.524158
2025-07-13 0.084781 0.122705 0.173748 0.247044 0.349101 0.485600 0.681348
2025-07-20 0.074383 0.115484 0.174441 0.264432 0.397419 0.585609 0.870722
2025-07-27 0.065146 0.107584 0.171950 0.275564 0.436779 0.676255 1.056537
2025-08-03 0.055453 0.096935 0.163154 0.275057 0.457508 0.740671 1.209754
2025-08-10 0.045975 0.084805 0.149852 0.264893 0.460827 0.777540 1.323121
2025-08-17 0.037849 0.073481 0.135963 0.251326 0.456034 0.799767 1.413883
2025-08-24 0.033438 0.068012 0.131202 0.252492 0.475800 0.863764 1.579821
2025-08-31 0.028566 0.060825 0.122231 0.244656 0.478291 0.897831 1.696901
2025-09-07 0.025786 0.057266 0.119464 0.247837 0.500948 0.969273 1.886956
2025-09-14 0.023101 0.053448 0.115611 0.248283 0.518221 1.032239 2.067224
2025-09-21 0.020128 0.048706 0.109601 0.244388 0.528137 1.085493 2.241103
2025-09-28 0.017542 0.044391 0.103894 0.240448 0.537761 1.139887 2.424757
2025-10-05 0.016367 0.043132 0.104588 0.250286 0.577222 1.257668 2.747348
2025-10-12 0.015837 0.043330 0.108557 0.267889 0.635448 1.419777 3.177484
2025-10-19 0.014917 0.042382 0.109709 0.279159 0.680977 1.559922 3.575794
2025-10-26 0.013409 0.039621 0.106095 0.278646 0.699594 1.644128 3.862441
2025-11-02 0.011590 0.035665 0.098902 0.268357 0.693980 1.674230 4.032919
2025-11-09 0.009862 0.031619 0.090824 0.254621 0.678202 1.679442 4.147436
2025-11-16 0.008995 0.029913 0.088646 0.255801 0.699335 1.772004 4.472666
2025-11-23 0.007876 0.027217 0.083342 0.247868 0.696301 1.806945 4.665363
2025-11-30 0.007285 0.026061 0.082177 0.251089 0.722626 1.915478 5.045967